quarta-feira, 5 de março de 2025

CRISE TRUMP-EUROPA: VERBAS DO CLIMA PODERÃO SER REVERTIDAS PARA COMPRA DE ARMAS

 

Card publicado pelas Nações Unidas com importante alerta para o momento que estamos vivendo.

Enquanto o Brasil celebra o Carnaval, no mundo quem desfila é o "Bloco da Insensatez".

AVANÇOS: De outubro de 2024 para cá, o mundo alcançou avanços históricos para a transição para a sustentabilidade: na COP 29, da Conferência do Clima (UNFCCC), em Baku (Azerbaijão), os países se comprometeram a investir US$ 300 bilhões/ano na mitigação e adaptação climática; enquanto na COP16, da Conferência da Diversidade Biológica (CBD), em Cali, Colômbia/ Roma, Itália, os países concordaram em aportar US$ 200 bilhões para reverter a destruição de ecossistemas e extinção de espécies. 

RETROCESSOS: Há poucas semanas alojado na Casa Branca para seu segundo mandato de presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump abriu guerra em todas as frentes. Veja alguns dos episódios dos últimos dias: 

  • Donald Trump distorce os fatos, diz que Ucrânia começou a guerra, toma partido da Rússia e anuncia a redução drástica do financiamento à OTAN.
  • Trump, seu vice-presidente JD Vance e o secretário de Estado, Marco Rubio, voltaram-se com desrespeito contra a Europa, de forma nunca vista.
  • Dias após humilhar publicamente o presidente ucraniano Volodymyr Zelenskiy, durante entrevista coletiva na Sala Oval da Casa Branca, Trump anuncia a suspensão da verba e do apoio militar à Ucrânia. Trump decide de forma unilateral que a Ucrânia deve ceder aos EUA seus direitos sobre recursos minerais do país como forma de ressarcimento à ajuda militar durante a guerra.
  • Diante do ambiente de instabilidade, Ursula von der Leyen, presidente da União Europeia, anuncia que a Europa "começará uma nova corrida armamentista" para se proteger. A líder europeia disse que já "tinham um plano para financiar a compra de armas".
  • Ontem, países europeus começaram a anunciar que a verba que destinariam para a Convenção do Clima e para a Convenção para a Diversidade Biológica poderão ser utilizados para comprar armas!

Leia matérias sobre o assunto:

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Europe diverts climate funds for war chest

By Gautam Naik

Europe’s race to build a war economy has led the bloc to pull spending desperately needed for another crisis: the climate.

The redirection of billions of euros away from development finance meant to fight the fallout of floods, droughts and cyclones in poorer countries has the potential to fuel European inflation, drive up immigration and weaken the bloc’s standing abroad.

“We are mutually dependent on these countries,” said Gareth Redmond-King, head of international program at Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit, a nonprofit.

In the UK, Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced plans to cut aid spending by £6 billion ($7.6 billion) to make room for increased military spending. Germany intends to scale back development finance by almost $1 billion, while the Netherlands has unveiled €2.4 billion ($2.5 billion) of cuts. Across Europe, governments including Finland, Sweden and Switzerland are releasing similar plans.


Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Ukraine's president, left, and Keir Starmer, UK prime minister, ahead of a summit in London on March 2. Photographer: Chris J. Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

Redmond-King said the pullback has implications for a whole range of soft commodities in countries that export to Europe. Fewer protections against climate disasters will likely result in higher prices on everything from coffee to cocoa and bananas, he said. He also warns that spending cuts here and now mean future climate costs may rise.

The UK imports two-fifths of its food from abroad, half of which comes from areas where crops face an increase in heat waves, floods and other impacts of climate change, according to the ECIU.

David Miliband, a former Labour foreign secretary who’s now chief executive of the International Rescue Committee, said the UK’s decision to withdraw development finance marks “a blow to Britain’s proud reputation as a global humanitarian and development leader.” Meanwhile, Anneliese Dodds, the UK’s minister for international development, has resigned in protest.

Ironically, the retreat by western governments from development finance risks ceding soft power in strategically important geographies to nations that Europe considers hostile, according to Redmond-King.

“The world has changed a lot in the last month and there’s no question we have to raise defense spending,” he said. But by cutting climate aid to developing nations “we risk withdrawing something that stabilizes those countries and opens up an opportunity for others – like Russia – to step in.”

Europe’s retreat from development finance adds to the blow delivered by the policies of US President Donald Trump, which froze foreign aid and began dismantling the US Agency for International Development. The agency managed $43 billion of foreign aid in 2023.

The hollowing out of development budgets comes just three months after the COP29 summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, where rich countries finalized a hard-won agreement to provide $300 billion of annual climate aid to poorer nations.

That pledge is now in jeopardy.

“It will be much more difficult to live up to the commitments signed up to at Baku,” said Redmond-King.

Meanwhile, investors are turning their backs on stocks whose value is tied to climate spending. The S&P Global Clean Energy Index has lost about 40% of its value since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. The S&P Global 1200 Aerospace & Defense Index climbed 64% in the same period.

Fonte: Bloomberg.com.

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Outro artigo:

segunda-feira, 3 de março de 2025

NASA explica as ondas de calor na América do Sul


Summer Heat Wave in South America

In February 2025, an area of high pressure parked over the southern Atlantic Ocean, causing temperatures to soar in parts of South America. In Brazil, the heat led officials in Rio Grande do Sul to delay the start of school and people in Rio de Janeiro to flock to the beach.

The summer heat wave is depicted on this map, which shows air temperatures modeled at 2 meters (6.5 feet) above the ground on February 17. It was produced by combining satellite observations with temperatures predicted by a version of the GEOS (Goddard Earth Observing System) model, which uses mathematical equations to represent physical processes in the atmosphere. The darkest reds indicate areas where temperatures reached or exceeded 38 degrees Celsius (100 degrees Fahrenheit).

The city of Rio de Janeiro saw especially warm conditions on February 17. According to news reports, a weather station in the Guaratiba neighborhood recorded temperatures of up to 44°C that day(111°F)—the hottest temperature measured since the development of the city’s climate alert system 10 years ago.

Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) noted several other municipalities across the state of Rio de Janeiro where temperatures exceeded 40°C (104°F) on February 17, such as Silva Jardim, which hit 42°C (108°F). The region’s heat wave continued through the week before returning closer to normal as the focus of the heat shifted south into Argentina.

Heat was already evident in northern Argentina on February 17, when the country’s National Weather Service (SMN-Arg) reported highs reaching up to 40°C. As of February 27, SMN-Arg noted that six provinces were under a red-level (very dangerous) alert for extreme heat.

NASA Earth Observatory image by Michala Garrison, using GEOS-5 data from the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office. Story by Kathryn Hansen.

References & Resources

The Associated Press (2025, February 17) Rio de Janeiro’s hottest day in at least a decade sends residents to the beach. Accessed February 28, 2025.
The Guardian (2025, February 24) Weather tracker: temperatures hit record highs across South America. Accessed February 28, 2025.
The Guardian (2025, February 12) Intense heatwave in southern Brazil forces schools to suspend return. Accessed February 28, 2025.
INMET, via X (2025, February 17) Check out the biggest temperatures recorded, until 3 pm today (17), by INMET. Accessed February 28, 2025.
SMN Argentina, via X (2025, February 17) Tmax. (°C). Accessed February 28, 2025.